Tourism, economic crisis. Does the sector recede or recover in Peru?

Díaz F.R.V. · RISTI - Revista Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao (2023)

Resumen

The general objective was to demonstrate the economic impact of Covid-19 in the Peruvian tourism sector, in two moments, during and after the pandemic through the forecast of added value, currency balance and income of international tourist. The research design was the regression model with two Holt parameters. The estimated Gross Value Added in Peruvian Tourism, the effect is economic recession, full recovery is difficult and it is projected until the years 2022, 2023 and 2024. The estimated USD US currency balance in Tourism, the highest outflow of dollars since the year 2021 until 2024. The income of international tourists estimated in Tourism, the contraction in the projections for the years 2022 to 2024 was demonstrated. The three years of projected study confirm that the economic recovery of the sector will be long-term, for reach the levels of 2019.

Instituciones: Universidad Nacional José María Arguedas