Optimizing the location of vaccination sites to stop a zoonotic epidemic

Castillo-Neyra R.; Xie S.; Bellotti B.R.; Diaz E.W.; Saxena A.; Toledo A.M.; Condori-Luna G.F.; Rieders M.; Bhattacharya B.B.; Levy M.Z. · Scientific Reports (2024) · DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-66674-x

Resumen

Mass vaccinations are crucial public health interventions for curbing infectious diseases. Canine rabies control relies on mass dog vaccination campaigns (MDVCs) that are held annually across the globe. Dog owners must bring their pets to fixed vaccination sites, but sometimes target coverage is not achieved due to low participation. Travel distance to vaccination sites is an important barrier to participation. We aimed to increase MDVC participation in silico by optimally placing fixed-point vaccination locations. We quantified participation probability based on walking distance to the nearest vaccination site using regression models fit to participation data collected over 4 years. We used computational recursive interchange techniques to optimally place fixed-point vaccination sites and compared predicted participation with these optimally placed vaccination sites to actual locations used in previous campaigns. Algorithms that minimized average walking distance or maximized expected participation provided the best solutions. Optimal vaccination placement is expected to increase participation by 7% and improve spatial evenness of coverage, resulting in fewer under-vaccinated pockets. However, unevenness in workload across sites remained. Our data-driven algorithm optimally places limited resources to increase overall vaccination participation and equity. Field evaluations are essential to assess effectiveness and evaluate potentially longer waiting queues resulting from increased participation. © The Author(s) 2024.

Instituciones: Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia