Factors associated with working in remote areas among physicians: a machine learning approach

Chilca-Alva M.; Núñez M.; De la Cruz Mozombite J.E.; de la Cruz Huayanay A. · Anales de la Facultad de Medicina (2026) · DOI: 10.15381/anales.v87i1.30865

Resumen

Introduction. The global shortage of physicians represents a major public health challenge, with significant disparities in Peru. Objective. To determine the machine learning model that identifies the factors associated with physicians working in remote areas, defined as remote or border zones (ZAF) by the Peruvian government. Method. A quantitative, non-experimental, cross-sectional, and correlational study was conducted. A population of 10,228 primary care physicians was analyzed using the INFORHUS database of the Peruvian Ministry of Health as of July 2022. Four machine learning techniques were applied, and their performance was evaluated using the F1-Score, Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC), and geometric mean (GM) metrics to address data imbalances. Results. The Random Forest model proved to be the most effective. The most relevant variables, with the highest percentage of association with medical professionals working in remote areas, were remuneration (40.6%), age (25.6%), whether the contract type was SERUMS (14.2%), and sex (5.2%). Conclusions. The Random Forest model identified the factors associated with physicians working in remote areas (ZAF) in Peru, highlighting the predominance of economic and personal factors. This finding provides evidence to inform policies aimed at improving the distribution of physicians in Peru. © (2026), (Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Facultad de Medicina), All Rights Reserved.

Instituciones: Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos; Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú; Universidad Ricardo Palma; Universidad de Lima