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Exploring Geographical Topologies and Diffusion of Monkeypox Infections at the Beginning Pandemic

Nieto-Chaupis H. · Proceedings - IEEE 22nd International Conference on Bioinformatics and Bioengineering, BIBE 2022 (2022) · DOI: 10.1109/bibe55377.2022.00041

Resumen

Although a bit more of 2 months from the outbreak of Monkeypox pandemic, global data of number of infections are exhibiting an exponential behavior due to a fast propagation. In this paper it is analyzed the reported data up to end of July. It is observed that data possibly is not following a similar shape than the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. With this, a model is developed to be confronted to current data. Furthermore, the spread of Monkeypox is discussed in terms of geographical topologies. From it, it is demonstrated that a diffusion equation might be underlying the spatial propagation that would depend on the velocity of transmission. A mathematical interpretation of ongoing data in terms of proposed model based at peaked and exponential distributions is presented.

Instituciones: Universidad Autónoma del Perú