Comparative Analysis of Throughput Prediction Models in SAG Mill Circuits: A Geometallurgical Approach

Guillen M.; Iriarte G.; Montes H.; San Martín G.; Fantini N. · Mining (2025) · DOI: 10.3390/mining5030037

Resumen

This study was conducted on a copper porphyry deposit located in Espinar, Cusco (Peru), with the objective of developing and comparing predictive models for processing capacity in SAG grinding circuits. A total of 174 samples were used for the JK Drop Weight Test (JKDWT) and 1172 for the Bond Work Index (BWi), along with 36 months of operational plant data. Three modeling methodologies were evaluated: DWi-BWi, SGI-BWi, and SMC-BWi (Mia, Mib), all integrated into a geometallurgical block model. Validation was performed through reconciliation with actual plant data, considering operational constraints such as transfer size (T80) and maximum throughput (TPH). The model based on SMC parameters and BWi showed the best predictive performance, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 143 t/h and a mean relative deviation of 1.5%. This approach enables more accurate throughput forecasting, improving mine planning and operational efficiency. The results highlight the importance of integrating geometallurgical and operational data to build robust models that are adaptable to ore variability and applicable to both short- and long-term planning scenarios.

Instituciones: Universidad Nacional de San Agustín de Arequipa