A Foresight Study into Peru’s Technological Progress Towards 2050

Gonzales B.F.; Acosta-Prado J.C.; Hernández-Cenzano C.G.; Flores A.G.A.; Ccallocunto J.U.G.; Muñoz J.A.R. · Journal of Futures Studies (2026) · DOI: 10.6531/jfs.202603_30(3).0002

Resumen

This study examines Peru's technological progress through innovation and development Scenarios Towards 2050, based in the theoretical foundations of technological foresight. This study examines trends and scenarios using the real-time Delphi method to identify key drivers in sustainability, the digital economy, education, and scientific-technological capacity. Four scenarios were developed using the deductive approach based on two uncertainties: “Innovative Synergy 2050: Peru as a Technological Epicenter of Latin America”, “Disconnection 2050: Innovation Trapped in the Laboratory”, “Technology Gap 2050, The Decline of Innovation in Peru”, and “Technological Oasis in the Academic Desert, Peru 2050”. The first one was defined as a target scenario through the Probability, Desirability, and Governability analysis. Finally, strategies to build this scenario were proposed using the backcasting method. 1027-6084/

Instituciones: Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú